BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

S Illinois

Class: 1 Class Rank: 312 Overall: (3-10) Overall Strength =   21.11
Conference: Missouri Valley Record: (0-4) | District: 1-02 Record: (1-8)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-04-2025 Home    W      21.40  69  53   ZZ  67 ( 0- 1) Lewis                  -0.00     16.00                      
 2 11-15-2025 Away    L   *  18.20  60  85    1 122 (11- 5) PFW                    -3.21    -21.79                      
 3 11-18-2025 Away    L      19.48  50  81    1  72 (12- 5) Missouri               -1.92 *  -29.08                      
 4 11-25-2025 Neutral L   *   7.17  61  75    1 308 ( 8- 8) Winthrop              -14.23      0.23                      
 5 11-26-2025 Neutral L      34.17  63  73    1  96 (11- 6) Arkansas               12.77    -22.77                      
 6 11-30-2025 Home    L   *  12.51  52  60    1 306 ( 4- 9) Western Kentucky       -8.89      0.89                      
 7 12-03-2025 Away    L   *  12.62  54  81    1 169 ( 7- 8) Alabama-Birmingham     -8.78    -18.22                      
 8 12-06-2025 Home    W   *  29.96  76  71    1 289 ( 5- 8) SE Missouri St          8.56     -3.56                      
 9 12-18-2025 Away    L * *  22.23  47  64    1 162 ( 8- 6) Bradley                 0.83    -17.83                      
10 12-20-2025 Home    W      26.58  85  29   ZZ 228 ( 0- 2) Judson IL               5.18 *   50.82                      
11 12-29-2025 Home    L * *  32.05  56  68    1  86 ( 8- 7) Belmont                10.64    -22.64                      
12 01-02-2026 Away    L * *  21.93  75  89    1 212 ( 4- 9) Drake                   0.53    -14.53                      
13 01-04-2026 Away    L * *  19.93  64  91    1  95 ( 8- 6) Northern Iowa          -1.47    -25.53                      
14 01/08/2026 Home      * *                   1 258 ( 3-11) Evansville                       -4.13            
15 01/10/2026 Home      * *                   1 354 ( 0-15) Valparaiso                       14.18            
16 01/15/2026 Home      * *                   1  93 (13- 2) Murray St                       -21.01            
17 01/18/2026 Home      * *                   1 220 ( 7- 8) IL Chicago                       -8.23            
18 01/22/2026 Home      * *                   1 315 ( 5- 9) Indiana St                        3.07            
19 01/24/2026 Away      * *                   1  86 ( 8- 7) Belmont                         -27.49            
20 01/29/2026 Away      * *                   1  93 (13- 2) Murray St                       -25.97            
21 02/05/2026 Away      * *                   1 220 ( 7- 8) IL Chicago                      -13.19            
22 02/07/2026 Away      * *                   1 354 ( 0-15) Valparaiso                        9.23            
23 02/13/2026 Home      * *                   1 116 ( 7- 8) Illinois St                     -17.94            
24 02/15/2026 Home      * *                   1 162 ( 8- 6) Bradley                         -13.99            
25 02/19/2026 Home      * *                   1  95 ( 8- 6) Northern Iowa                   -20.88            
26 02/21/2026 Away      * *                   1 315 ( 5- 9) Indiana St                       -1.88            
27 02/26/2026 Away      * *                   1 116 ( 7- 8) Illinois St                     -22.90            
28 02/28/2026 Home      * *                   1 212 ( 4- 9) Drake                            -9.33            
29 03/08/2026 Away      * *                   1 258 ( 3-11) Evansville                       -9.08            
      Averages              21.40  62.5 70.8

Best game:   34.17 = 10 point loss to Arkansas
Worst game:   7.17 = 14 point loss to Winthrop
Team stdev:   7.92